Tag Archives: Ayrton Senna

The f1metrics top 100

Who was the greatest F1 driver of all time? It is an endlessly debated question amongst fans and pundits alike. If the only aspect we care about is the number of titles or grand prix wins, then the answer is straightforward. Yet, as F1 fans, we recognize that the question is far more complicated. F1 […]

Historical hypotheticals: Part III (Bellof and ex-champion comebacks)

Welcome to the third part of this five-part series, in which I apply the f1metrics model of driver and team performance to simulating historical hypothetical situations. If you want to check out the previous articles in this series, they are linked here: Part I (Senna, Pryce, Brise) Part II (Kubica, Clark, Donohue, Revson) Method For […]

Historical hypotheticals: Part I (Senna, Pryce, Brise)

What if Ayrton Senna had survived the crash at Imola 1994? What if Robert Kubica had never entered that fateful rally? The history of Formula 1 is sadly abundant with drivers cut down at or before their peak. In this five-part series, I will apply the f1metrics model of driver and team performance to simulating […]

Do drivers influence mechanical reliability?

Car reliability has always played a central role in Formula 1 — an inevitable consequence of teams not wanting to leave any potential performance unexploited. Mechanical DNFs at inopportune times have decided numerous championships. Who can forget Mansell’s puncture at Adelaide 1986 or Hamilton’s shock engine failure at Malaysia 2016? Many of the sport’s most […]

Experts versus models: How do we rank drivers?

Who was a greater Formula 1 driver: Nigel Mansell or Elio de Angelis? Expert panels have uniformly selected Mansell. Raw statistics of success — wins, championships, and the like — also clearly favor Mansell. Yet, every mathematical model of driver rankings developed to date resoundingly answers de Angelis. Examining the data table below helps to […]