Category Predictions

Historical hypotheticals: Part V (Gilles Villeneuve & Michael Schumacher)

While most of the work I do on this blog is fairly serious analysis, this series has been an enjoyable, less serious side project. This is the final part of this five-part series, in which I apply the f1metrics model of driver and team performance to simulating historical hypothetical situations. If you want to check […]

Historical hypotheticals: Part IV (Alesi, Behra, Cevert)

Welcome to the fourth part of this five-part series, in which I apply the f1metrics model of driver and team performance to simulating historical hypothetical situations. This time, it’s a French edition, covering three famous French drivers who didn’t get to deliver their full potential in F1. If you want to check out the previous […]

Historical hypotheticals: Part III (Bellof and ex-champion comebacks)

Welcome to the third part of this five-part series, in which I apply the f1metrics model of driver and team performance to simulating historical hypothetical situations. If you want to check out the previous articles in this series, they are linked here: Part I (Senna, Pryce, Brise) Part II (Kubica, Clark, Donohue, Revson) Method For […]

2019 Preseason Analysis

With less than a week until the 2019 cars hit the track in Melbourne, let’s take a careful look at the preseason testing data and what we can expect from the latest driver match-ups. Owing to time constraints, you have my apologies for this coming a little later than usual. Hopefully better late than never! […]

2018 f1metrics end of season report

2018 proved a wonder of a season, with two close to evenly matched cars dicing for the drivers’ and constructors’ titles across most of the season; a rare delight in Formula 1. Mercedes took the spoils for the fifth season on the trot, but that achievement was as much attributable to driver as team — […]

Historical hypotheticals: Part II (Kubica, Clark, Donohue, Revson)

Welcome to the second part of this five-part series, in which I apply the f1metrics model of driver and team performance to simulating historical hypothetical situations. Consider this a quantitative approach to tackling some popular but difficult to resolve talking points in Formula 1 history. The point of this series is not to be taken […]

Historical hypotheticals: Part I (Senna, Pryce, Brise)

What if Ayrton Senna had survived the crash at Imola 1994? What if Robert Kubica had never entered that fateful rally? The history of Formula 1 is sadly abundant with drivers cut down at or before their peak. In this five-part series, I will apply the f1metrics model of driver and team performance to simulating […]

2018 preseason analysis

With the wraps off the new halo-adorned cars, we launch into 2018. There are several major sources of intrigue at the dawn of the season. Can Renault, with three top-budget teams now in their ranks, take the fight to the Mercedes or Ferrari works teams? By what margin can 2018 cars exceed the already record-breaking […]

2017 junior driver rankings

As we wait for the 2018 season to fire up, and as Williams resolve the Kubica-Sirotkin-Wehrlein trilemma, it seems a good time to update the annual junior driver rankings. As in previous years, I’m using a simple scoring system that can be easily computed by hand. It takes into account the different tiers of junior […]

2017 Preseason analysis

2017 marks one of the largest changes in the history of Formula 1. Not since 1966, when engine sizes were doubled, have the sport’s rule-makers introduced full-format changes with the primary intent of making the cars faster and more exciting. Instead, we have become accustomed to changes designed to curb speeds and improve safety, which […]